What
is IDEE?
Programs
Publications
Links
Photogallery
Contact
Us
How
You Can Help

|
MOSCOW
After the bombings in this city's subway system last week,
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton noted that we all "face the
same
enemy." No one -- whether in Moscow, London, Madrid
or New York
-- can be fully
secure against acts of terrorism. In Russia,
however, the problem of terrorism is arguably more difficult than in
Europe or
the United States.
We have radical Islam right inside our borders, in the North Caucasus. There is no getting away from
it: People who live in
this territory are Russian citizens; its provinces are financed by the
Russian
federal budget. It is as though Afghanistan,
with its insurgent activity, were a U.S. state within the
borders of
the Lower 48.
But while the
challenge of terrorism cries for long-term,
consistent strategy, Russia's
system of heavy-handed and unaccountable governance precludes strategic
thinking.
In the early
1990s, after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
Boris Yeltsin's government responded to armed secessionists in Chechnya
by
waging a full-scale war. Russia's
armed forces were undertrained and undersupplied; horrific atrocities
ensued on
both sides. The 1996 peace agreement was evidence of Russia's
humiliating weakness: A
former superpower failed to subdue its own tiny region.
"Peace" in Chechnya
entailed frequent
kidnappings for ransom, hostage-taking and terrorist attacks. In 1999,
a
Chechen force invaded the neighboring province of Dagestan,
about the same time explosions of apartment buildings in three Russian
cities
famously took the lives of roughly 300 people.
When Vladimir
Putin became president in 2000, his solution
was a new war. With it came more atrocities, deeper brutalization and,
in Russia at large,
growing xenophobia against
"those from the Caucasus." This time
federal forces defeated the Chechen fighters, but terrorist attacks
continued
through 2004. The most horrific of these was the seizure of Beslan
school where
more than 330 hostages, over half of them children, were killed that
September.
By the mid-2000s,
secession was no longer the issue in Chechnya,
but a new problem was building:
Militant Islam was on the rise all over the North
Caucasus.
In the early '90s Islam had still been weak in this traditionally
Muslim
territory; adults had secular Soviet educations, and the attraction of
Russian
culture was still strong. But the new generation growing up in the Chechnya devastated by the Russian
army, and in
neighboring provinces such as Dagestan
and
Ingushetia, were increasingly influenced by Islamic culture and Islam,
not infrequently
its radical strains. Clandestine extremist groups called for jihad
across the territory
of Russia.
Training centers for suicide
bombers reportedly operate in the North Caucasus.
The Kremlin
shifted tactics a few years ago, installing
pro-Moscow leaders in these Muslim provinces and reducing the federal
government's mission to allocating funds and occasional anti-terrorist
operations. It turned a blind eye to subversive attacks, explosions,
and
assassinations of area police and local administrators, which have
become
routine in Ingushetia and Dagestan.
The
central government also ignored the brutal practices local leaders used
against
Islamic radicals and other criminal or extremist groups. As long as
violence
was contained within the North Caucasus, the thinking went, the bulk of
Russia
remained
relatively safe. But last week's attacks underscore just how flawed and
shortsighted this policy is.
Today, the rise
of radical Islam in the North Caucasus
is inevitable, especially with such forces active in many
parts of the world. Russia's
only strategic option is a long-term and multi-pronged government
commitment to
the problem. It is critical that the Russian government and the nation
treat
the people of the North Caucasus as
their
fellow countrymen -- no easy task given that today they are seen as a
suspect
culture or simply unwanted intruders. Other urgent needs are to improve
security in Russia
at large as well as to increase the efficiency of anti-terrorism
practices. But
these missions will be next to impossible in a country where the
violent
behavior of police officers makes them a threat to the people, rather
than a
force from which citizens can draw protection.
Strains of
official rhetoric echo the language of 1999:
After the infamous blasts of Moscow
apartment buildings, Putin pledged to wipe out terrorists in outhouses.
Now he
vows "to drag them out of the sewer and into broad daylight." But
large-scale use of force is not an option. As happened in the '90s, it
is bound
to start another vicious circle of punitive measures and extremists'
efforts to
exact revenge.
Reasonable calls
have also been heard. President Dmitry
Medvedev spoke last week about the need to create in the North Caucasus "the right kind of modern
environment for education,
for doing business, for overcoming cronyism . . . and, of course, for
confronting corruption." But corruption plagues more than the North Caucasus; it's the texture of the Russian
system of
governance, which is built on political monopoly and unaccountability.
Unless Russia
makes
systemic reforms, good intentions will not translate into stronger
policies.
What
is Idee? | Programs
| Publications | Photogallery
| Useful Links | Contact|Home
|